Another Weekend Trip = Not Much Poker

I was gone all weekend, so just a tiny bit of poker before I left. I played about 50 hands of 25NL at one table. It was very quiet except for the first hand.

UTG limps, 2 others limp, SB calls, I check with Q6o. Flop comes QJx, two spades. Numbers on UTG are 25%/4%/1.x (yay UB prefetching!), so I’m thinking if he has AA or KK and was going to limp-reraise preflop, he’d raise me on the flop, if he had AK he gets away, if he has AQ/KQ, I’d think he’d raise. I’m focused on UTG, because he’s the most likely to have a big hand due to his position. I don’t think he calls with an underpair. He could have AQ for top pair, so we’ll see. I bet with garbage top pair, hoping to take it down, representing a big blind special with no real strength shown preflop. UTG and another limper call. Turn comes a Q – I have 3 Qs. I’m hoping he’s slowplaying AA or KK. He could have AQ, but he sure doesn’t have top set, although he could have JJ and I could be in trouble. He could have an underpair and I could be in the lead, but I’m going to press the issue. I check, planning to check-raise. Sure enough, he bets a small bet of 1, which isn’t even a quarter of the pot. I’m thinking he’s got the overpair and I have him, or an underpair and he’s stealing, and he’ll fold to the checkraise. Otherguy calls, I figure he’s got to be on the flush draw, although UTG could be as well. I checkraise to $4, defining my hand. UTG calls, otherguy folds. I’m sure I’m beat that this point. He must have JJ or a big Q like KQ or AQ, or QJ, but I don’t understand why he didn’t shove it. He must just be trying to get every last dollar out of me, so whatever, I plan on check-folding the river. I can’t beleive he calls a checkraise with AA or KK. River comes, it’s a 6. Uh, ok. I have a full house – QQQ66. If he has QJ, whatever, I’m stacked, but I’m surely going to get all in, and I’m ok with that, because I have 3rd nuts, but there’s no way he has the QX better boat based on the fact that he’s tight and he’s UTG, so it might as well be 2nd nuts. So, I lead out with 11 bucks, which is about the size of the pot, figuring he shoves and I stack him, unless he has magic QJ. He calls? No straight, no flush on the board, which would be the only hands I’d call with, because the board is paired. Anything else, I’m shoving if I’m ahead or folding if I’m behind, but I can’t believe he called. He turns over AQo for 3 of a kind, top kicker, and curses me repeatedly before getting up and leaving, keeping his last 6 bucks or whatever it was.

He could have taken the hand away from me preflop, on the flop, and POSSIBLY on the turn. Why is he mad at me when he played the hand so passively. He can’t think he’s slowplaying a monster, because he doesn’t shove the river when we’re committed, but I can’t think that he thought he was behind, because he wouldn’t have called a checkraise on the turn and a pot sized bet on the river. Those plays are completely incongruent and make no sense. Bottom line: Bad player/Buddy List. He doesn’t think he’s way ahead or way behind, he’s just weak.

So, I was up to about 45 right off the bat. I lost a couple of hands and got down to 40, then had to go about my business. My UB roll is hovering around $300, my PS roll is $100+, so I’m about 16 buyins of 25NL. Legal enough for me at this point.

I hope to get in some more hands this week, so I’ll keep you updated.

_uacct = “UA-2736361-1″;
urchinTracker();

Pokertracker Numbers Update

I haven’t updated my Pokertracker numbers online since June, so I thought I’d post them for you to peruse. I didn’t split them into games with 1000+ hands, it’s not worth the effort.

I’m most interested in the relationship between my PTBB/100, %VPIP, %Showdown%Won when saw the flop, and %Won when saw showdown. I’m looking for relationships, although I’m not seeing anything. I’m not really comparing NL and Limit, that’s pointless, so really, I’m focusing on NL, because I haven’t played any Limit in over a year.

Anyway, take a look and tell me what you think.

Well…

An interesting night. I couldn’t get anything right at .05/.10. However, I played some .10/.25 for a full buyin (see previous post), doubled up quickly with a set, got up with 54 bucks, for a profit of 29.. Sat down at another table, was up about 5, then got nearly stacked with this hand:

Hand #45623390-1xxx at (No Limit Hold’em)
Started at 17/Sep/07 22:01:16

is at seat 0 with $18.42.
is at seat 2 with $26.92.
seat 3 with $39.91.
is at seat 4 with $1.89.
is at seat 5 with $58.02.
is at seat 6 with $18.12.
is at seat 7 with $25.
is at seat 8 with $17.17.
is at seat 9 with $11.60.
The button is at seat 5.

posts the small blind of $.10.
posts the big blind of $.25.

: — –
Winner: — –
: — –
54: — –
: — –
: — –
me: As 8s
: — –
: — –

Pre-flop:

folds. calls. calls.
Winner folds. folds. 54 calls.
folds. folds. me
checks.

Flop (board: 4s 3h 2d):

me checks. checks.
bets $.75. 54 folds. me calls.
folds.

Turn (board: 4s 3h 2d Qs):

me checks. bets $1.
me raises to $5.60. goes
all-in for $17.42. me calls.

River (board: 4s 3h 2d Qs 6c):

(no action in this round)

Showdown:

shows Qc Ts.
has Qc Ts 4s Qs 6c: a pair of queens.
me mucks cards.
(me has As 8s.)

Hand #45623390-13269 Summary:

$1.48 is raked from a pot of $37.44.
wins $35.96 with a pair of queens.
—————————————————————-

I thought my raise would push him off. I have a big draw with a lot of outs – I can’t know exactly how many, but I figured I had at least 12 (flush and gutshot) and he has like QJ. In reality, I had 14 (the 3 aces minus his Ts) if he calls. I was surprised by the all in reraise, and thought it might be a full on bluff. He was pretty aggressive. I calculated wrong thinking I had 3-1 pot odds so I was even money if I was behind. However, I had to call $12 to win $27, so in retrospect, I made a bad call, and probably should have check-called the turn with my outs. I’m always second guessing whether or not I should be more aggressive with the bigger draws. I don’t want to be results-oriented and say ‘yeah, check-call, check fold was the right play, would have saved me money’. I definitely blew the all-in call, and that’s an easy fix, fold when you don’t have outs. I shouldn’t have played because I was a bit tired. However, the checkraise on the turn is the thing that’s got me thinking. Press your big draws or try to catch for cheap?

Fortunately, I picked up some big hands and about $20 of it back.

Overall, up for the night about 14 bucks. Should have been more.

Maximizing

Hand #45622966-xxxxx at (No Limit Hold’em)
Started at 17/Sep/07 21:33:52

me is at seat 0 with $11.30.
someone is at seat 1 with $4.70.
LAG is at seat 2 with $10.
Chatty is at seat 3 with $10.
unknown is at seat 4 with $10.
LAGGISHr is at seat 5 with $6.46.
Unknown is at seat 6 with $4.51.
Unknown2 is at seat 7 with $4.15.
calling station is at seat 8 with $5.87.
Ultra Calling Station is at seat 9 with $15.93.
The button is at seat 1.

Chatty posts the small blind of $.05.
unknown posts the big blind of $.10.

me: Ac Qc
someone: — –
Chatty: — –
unknown: — –
LAGGISHr: — –
Unknown: — –
Unknown2: — –
calling station: — –
Ultra Calling Station: — –

Pre-flop:

LAGGISHr calls. Unknown calls. Unknown2
folds. calling station calls. Ultra Calling Station calls.
me calls. someone folds. Chatty calls.
unknown checks.

Flop (board: 6d Kc 6s):

Chatty checks. unknown checks.
LAGGISHr checks. Unknown bets $.10.
calling station calls. Ultra Calling Station calls. me
calls. Chatty folds. unknown folds.
LAGGISHr folds.

Turn (board: 6d Kc 6s 5c):

Unknown bets $.25. calling station folds. Ultra Calling Station
calls. me calls.

River (board: 6d Kc 6s 5c 2c):

Unknown bets $.40. Ultra Calling Station folds. me
raises to $3.05. Unknown goes all-in for $4.06.
me calls.

Showdown:

Unknown shows Kh Kd.
Unknown has Kh Kd 6d Kc 6s: full house, kings full of sixes.
me mucks cards.
(me has Ac Qc.)

Hand #45622966-25763 Summary:

$.49 is raked from a pot of $9.97.
Unknown wins $9.48 with full house, kings full of sixes.
—————————————————————-

Could I have lost any less on this hand? I really thought about it, and I’m thinking “There is no way this guy has KK”, and sure enough, he does.

BR Obsession

While I never stick 100% to the general accepted BR management requirements -

• Never buyin at a table with more than 5% of your bankroll (20 buyins)
• Never buyin to a tourney with more than 2% of your bankroll (50 buyins)
• Never reload online (that’s an agreement with my wife and myself)

- I am trying to temper myself though and not move up too fast. After that last 10 buyin downswing, I really want to be careful. I don’t want to have to go back down to .01/.02 if I can help it, and I like playing the 100BB buyin game much better than buying in short. It’s less robotic.

Ok, I’m obsessing again about my bankroll. My big issue right now is whether to treat my online bankroll as a single roll or as 2 separate rolls since it’s split between two sites. I never really see people write about it, so I don’t have anything else to go on but my gut. Why am I obsessing? Because, as always, I’d like to move up. I’d like to move up for a couple reasons:

1. Get to a level where I can actually earn enough to pay myself a ’salary’
2. Get to a level where I can afford some of the larger buyin tourneys
3. Improve my game by playing against better players
4. Prove to myself I can win at a tougher game
5. Get to a level where the rake isn’t as brutal in relationship to the pot.
6. Get to a level where the amount of buyins between levels evens out.

Everyone fantasizes about playing in the big games and having a million dollar payday, me included. I’d like to be able to give myself that opportunity, so yeah, I want to move up. The problem is, starting at the absolute lowest levels requires the absolute most wins before moving up, and the rake is at its most brutal, so it takes even longer to move up than it would at some of the higher levels. The jumps for bankroll requirements between 2NL, 5NL and 10NL are the biggest between any levels.

Below is a simple table that shows the relationship between the buyins that I would need to earn in order to move up. At .01/.02 (2NL), you would reasonably need $40 to play at that level (although realistically, since it’s the lowest level, you’d play it if you had any money at all). In order to follow the 5% rule, you’d have to win 100 buyins to have the bankroll to move up to 10NL with $200. Notice as you move up, it requires one to win fewer buyins to move up (at least until the 500NL (2/5) game. At that point, you’d probably want a little extra cushion anyway.

Max Buyin	20 Buyins	Move Up
2	40	100
10	200	50 <- You are here
25	500	40
50	1000	40
100	2000	40
200	4000	50
500	10000	40
1000	20000

I have $126 on Stars and $278 on UB. So, I have 27.5 buyins on UB for 10NL and 25 on Stars for 5NL. I should have a fairly low chance of going broke on either, as long as I treat them that way. I could also look at it as 16 buyins for 25NL between the two sites. It means I’d only need to win 10 more buyins at 10NL to bump up. 4 buyins at 25NL to make me official. I could also just buyin slightly short at $20 and have 20 buyins with my $400. If I go that route, I’m looking at six 20’s on Stars and just under 14 on UB. It’s not a lot of cushion if things go bad, and I do like having money on both sites. If money was easy to move around, I’d move it all to one site and just be done with it, but it’s not that easy to move it these days, and I like both sites. I prefer Stars for tournies and UB for cash games.

I could also buyin shorter at $15 and wait until I get my UB roll over $300. 60BBs is a weird stack size though. If I have AK in middle position, raise to 3.5BB, get 2 callers, then I have a stack to pot ratio of 5.5 on the flop. According to Ed Miller, Matt Flynn, and Sunny Mehta, if I’m committed, which I should be at that point, then I have to expect we’re getting all in if I bet. I miss 75% of the time with AK, so, when I c-bet that flop and I missed, I’m in big trouble If I’m called, I have to check fold. If I get raised, I probably have to fold. My stack isn’t big enough to checkraise someone out of that pot, either. I think I’m better off buying in for $10, and a stack of 40BB, easier to commit with. Of course, if I’m buying in that short, I might as well play 10NL.

My last option? Pretend that I’m starting from scratch at 20 buyins for 10NL and $200 on UB and take a shot with the $75 that’s left, and treat THAT as another bankroll, throw caution to the wind, and leave $200 as my artificial floor, and not cry if I blow those 3 buyins? After being so excited the past week about getting up about 10 buyins, blowing them all on a run doesn’t sound that appealing, but it does make me think of a recent Card Player magazine article by Daniel Negraneau about personality types, risk, and long term poker careers and results. I think I can probably win at 25NL, but all it takes is a couple of rough hands – KK vs. AA, cracked AA, or having a set lose to a flush on the river, and all that money is gone. At the same time, I could go on a run, be up 5 buyins, and then it would be a non-issue, and I could laugh at myself for being such a BR nit.

I can’t decide what to do. Should I take a small shot and create an artificial floor of x dollars – drop past x and drop down? Should I just plod along trying to win another 22.5 buyins on UB at 10NL? My confidence was shaken by that big downswing, yet it has been bolstered recently by a great run. I know poker is a long run game, and if I’m good enough, I’ll get there eventually. I’m trying to be patient, but when you play 8-10 hours a week at most, getting in maybe 2000 hands, the numbers aren’t pretty. I know I need to be flexible enough so I don’t go broke. I’m not so stubborn that I can’t drop down after a long losing run, but I’d hate to erase all the hard work I’ve put in, too. I guess going from $10 free bucks on UB to $278 makes it seem like it’s been forever since I moved up and made any headway. I did all that and I’m basically only half way to being fully rolled for $25NL.

So I guess I have no idea what I’m going to do. These in between bankroll points are brutal. I had the same issue when I was at about $100 and wanted to move up to 10NL from 2NL. Too much money for the lower level, not enough for the next level. Sorry for rambling.

$400 Club

Yay, I’m over $400 between PS and UB – $278 and $126.

Big Pot

Ultimate Bet No-Limit Hold’em, $.10 BB (10 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: HTML)

UTG+2 ($1.75)
MP1 ($9.80)
MP2 ($8.61)
MP3 ($2.33)
CO ($6.26)
Hero ($15.76)
SB ($33.73)
BB ($3.74)
UTG ($10.29)
UTG+1 ($4.25)

Preflop:

1 fold, UTG+1 calls $0.10, UTG+2 calls $0.10, MP1 calls $0.10, 1 fold, MP3 calls $0.10, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.10, 1 fold, BB checks.

Flop: ($0.65) Jd, 9d, Qd (6 players)

BB checks, UTG+1 bets $0.65, UTG+2 folds, MP1 calls $0.65, MP3 folds, Hero calls $0.65, BB calls $0.65.

Turn: ($3.25) 2c (4 players)

BB checks, UTG+1 checks, MP1 bets $3.25, Hero calls $3.25, BB calls $2.99 (All-In), UTG+1 calls $2.99 (All-In), MP1 calls $0, Hero calls $0.

River: ($15.73) 5c (4 players, 2 all-in)

MP1 checks, Hero bets $11.51 (All-In), MP1 calls $5.55 (All-In).

Final Pot: $26.83

Main Pot: $15.21, between MP1, Hero, BB and UTG+1. > Pot won by Hero ($15.21).

Pot 2: $0.52, between MP1 and Hero. > Pot won by Hero ($0.52).

Pot 3: $11.10, between MP1 and Hero. > Pot won by Hero ($11.10).

Pot 4: $5.96, returned to Hero.

Results in white below:

Hero has 5d Ad (flush, ace high).

BB has Tc 8h (straight, queen high).

UTG+1 has 9c 9s (three of a kind, nines).

MP1 has Th 8c (straight, queen high).

Outcome: Hero wins $32.79.

It kinda played itself. I basically prayed no one had the straight flush, and that the board didn’t pair. I knew at least one set had to be out there.

Hand Of The Night

This was a pivotal hand in my .50 tourney from last night that I wanted to post, but was too tired to last night. I’m singled tabling at this point, and you will probably see how it affects my play.

Villain has been shown to play pretty solid, aggressive poker. I’m really just trying to steal the blinds here, and I get involved in a confrontation.

It looks crazy on the surface, I’ll explain in another post what’s going on here.

PokerStars Game #1193362xxx: Tournament #5983xxx, $0.50+$0.00 Hold’em No Limit – Level XVI (2000/4000) – 2007/09/08 – 00:07:39 (ET)
Table ‘59838031 168′ 9-max Seat #8 is the button
Seat 1: tight solid (28320 in chips)
Seat 2: Villain (151105 in chips)
Seat 3: Chatty (53846 in chips)
Seat 4: Likes Flops (179126 in chips)
Seat 6: Me (98178 in chips)
Seat 7: No Read (99656 in chips)
Seat 8: No Read 2 (180573 in chips)
Seat 9: New To Table (128840 in chips) out of hand (moved from another table into small blind)
tight solid: posts the ante 400
Villain: posts the ante 400
Chatty: posts the ante 400
Likes Flops: posts the ante 400
Me: posts the ante 400
No Read: posts the ante 400
No Read: posts the ante 400
tight solid: posts small blind 2000
Villain: posts big blind 4000
New To Table is connected
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Me [Jd Th]
Chatty said, “nh”
Chatty: folds
Likes Flops: folds
Me: raises 8000 to 12000
No Read: folds
No Read 2: folds
tight solid: folds
Villain: calls 8000
*** FLOP *** [7c 6c 4d]
Villain: bets 8000
Me: raises 16000 to 24000
Villain: calls 16000
*** TURN *** [7c 6c 4d] [Td]
Villain: bets 24000
Me: calls 24000
*** RIVER *** [7c 6c 4d Td] [Ah]
Villain: bets 20000
Me: calls 20000
*** SHOW DOWN ***
Villain: shows [Qc 9c] (high card Ace)
Me: shows [Jd Th] (a pair of Tens)
Villain said, “wow”
Me collected 164800 from pot
Villain said, “f’cking horrible”
Chatty said, “wow nc”
Villain said, “WTF are u calling /w on the flop?”
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 164800 | Rake 0
Board [7c 6c 4d Td Ah]
Seat 1: tight solid (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 2: Villain (big blind) showed [Qc 9c] and lost with high card Ace
Seat 3: Chatty folded before Flop (didn’t bet)
Seat 4: Likes Flops folded before Flop (didn’t bet)
Seat 6: Me showed [Jd Th] and won (164800) with a pair of Tens
Seat 7: No Read folded before Flop (didn’t bet)
Seat 8: No Read (button) folded before Flop (didn’t bet)

Big Hand

So, once again I find myself at a single .10/25 table. I bought in for $15. Why am I there? Because a really loose cally wally opponent is there that I have good numbers on. Better yet, I’m sitting to his left, so I have position. Very early, I doubled up with a garbage flush out of the small blind to put me at $25. About an orbit later, and I pick up 99 on the button. Cally calls, so I raise with it on the button. Here’s the hand:

—————————————————————-

Hand #44594069-xxxxx at ???????(No Limit Hold’em)
Started at 02/Aug/07 xx:20:09

rock is at seat 0 with $16.72.
rock 2 is at seat 1 with $22.40.
medium taggish is at seat 2 with $7.22.
cally wally is at seat 3 with $18.
me is at seat 4 with $23.45.
a bit loose is at seat 5 with $23.30.
new to the table is at seat 6 with $25.64.
new too is at seat 7 with $10.60.
unsure is at seat 8 with $56.72.
unsure too 74 is at seat 9 with $7.52.
The button is at seat 5.

new to the table posts the small blind of $.10.
new too posts the big blind of $.25.

rock: — –
rock 2: — –
medium taggish: — –
cally wally: — –
me: 9c 9h
a bit loose: — –
new to the table: — –
new too: — –
unsure: — –
unsure too 74: — –

Pre-flop:

unsure folds. unsure too 74 folds. rock folds.
rock 2 folds. medium taggish folds. cally wally calls.
me raises to $.75. a bit loose folds.
new to the table calls. new too folds. cally wally
calls.

I have zero read on the new guy at the table – he just sat down, so I did some things based on some assumptions…

Flop (board: 8c 7c 3h):

new to the table checks. cally wally checks. me
bets $1.50. new to the table raises to $3.75. cally wally
folds. me re-raises to $6. new to the table
calls.

At .10/.25, there’s a fair amount of what I call ‘Punishing the CBettor’ – raising cbettors off their hands when they’re stealing on the button and they miss the flop with garbage cards. I’m thinking that’s what I’m against here, hence the reraise. I’m trying to reraise more often and then either take it down or get away from it – I’m representing the overpair. He doesn’t know it’s a small overpair, but I could still have the best hand. If he folds, I know he was just trying to take it away, If he shoves back, I’m in trouble, if he just calls, I think I’m good to go against A7 or A8, which he does.

Turn (board: 8c 7c 3h 6c):

new to the table checks. me bets $14.50. (this should have been an all in, but I goofed the slider)
new to the table goes all-in for $18.89. me goes
all-in for $16.70. new to the table is returned $2.19
(uncalled).

Major card on the turn here. When he checks after the preflop, I have to believe he has A8 or A7 or something. He has to know that a bet will probably be called, so I think I’m ahead, and with the OESFD, I think I’m committed here, hence the push, which is basically a pot sized bet. I had to think about it before I did it. I don’t think I really have much fold equity unless he has garbage top pair, but it still means he played the hand poorly. It’s a troublesome hand, because he could have made the flush, but I didn’t get the feeling that was the case – I figure would not check raise the flop with ATs or AJs if he didn’t raise preflop with it, but honestly, I’m a bit confused, and I’m surprised by the reraise all in, so when he does that, I figure I have 2 outs – the straight flush outs. He has to have the A3 of clubs, so good hand, he got me, but I hate his flop call. If by some weird chance he has a set, it’s the craziest set I’ve ever seen, but hey, I’ve got tons of outs. 2 9’s, and all 15 straight and flush outs are good, so I’m only a 7-3 dog, and I’m about even with my turn shove. I’m praying for A8/A7 with the A of clubs.

Hand #44594069-11108 Summary:

$1.90 is raked from a pot of $47.90.

So what do you think? Do you think I read the hand right, or did I blow it with my turn shove? The river card, and the villains hole cards to come…

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Solid and a Milestone

Four tables at $10 tonight for an hour. A decent night. Mostly because I doubled up on my first hand with QQ vs. KJs for $10. I had a bunch of hard decisions tonight, but I think I did pretty well – I really trusted my reads tonight – I laid down KK on the turn when an A flopped and I think a guy had AK. I also made a strong all-in push against a heavy better on a possibly scary board –

Hand #44593xxx at UB (No Limit Hold’em)
Started at 19/Jul/07 23:31:23

rock is at seat 0 with $15.55.
new is at seat 1 with $5.
aggro (35/15/5) is at seat 2 with $19.15.
TAG is at seat 3 with $12.77.
another rock is at seat 4 with $9.44.
15/2 ROCK is at seat 5 with $16.64.
me is at seat 6 with $17.44.
not sure is at seat 7 with $13.09.
not sure is at seat 8 with $10.35.
decent TAG is at seat 9 with $10.34.
The button is at seat 8.

decent TAGposts the small blind of $.05.
rock posts the big blind of $.10.

rock: — –
aggro: — –
TAG: — –
another rock: — –
15/2 Rock: — –
me: Qd Qc
not sure: — –
not sure: — –
Eldon: — –

Pre-flop:

aggro calls. TAG folds. another rock folds.
15/2 ROCKraises to $.45. me calls.
not sure folds. not sure folds. decent TAGfolds.
rock folds. aggro calls.

Preflop I figure the ROCK has AA, KK or JJ, or AK. He never raises. I don’t think he has QQ, because that’s what I have.

Flop (board: Jh 5d Js): (good flop for me, but aggro could have AJ, KJ, QJ, JJ, or JT.

aggro bets $1.50. 15/2 ROCKfolds. I think Aggro guy slowplays a big hand. Why push anyone out. When Rock folds, I know I should be good to go.
me calls.

Turn (board: Jh 5d Js 2c):

aggro bets $4.50. me goes all-in for $4.50 is a ‘let’s take this thing down now’ bet. He’s got a PF rating of 5.00. He doesn’t have the hand.
$15.49. aggro folds. me is returned
$10.99 (uncalled).

I won’t make that play against many people, but I had a tight image, he’s a bluffer, I think it’s a pretty easy shove. If I’m called, I’m probably still ahead, but I expect a fold with a hand like AT or 99 or something.

Hand #44593825-620 Summary:

$.67 is raked from a pot of $13.50.
me wins $12.83.
—————————————————————-

UB – $170.97
PS – $130.46

(My BR turns $300 tonight! Yay!)

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